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We Need Reforms for Presidential Nominations
opinion by Rob Richie and Steven Hill
Since his surprise win in Iowa, the rapid crunch of primaries has made
Massachusetts Senator John Kerry's momentum nearly unstoppable. But
before turning to the general election we should reflect on whether the
nominating process is fair, inclusive and effective. Reform is not
far-fetched. In 2000 Republicans nearly overhauled their primary
schedule, and Democrats plan a major review by 2006.
Some aspects of the current system work. There is a meaningful range of
views that showcase real diversity of opinion, in sharp contrast to our
many elections that feature lopsided runaways or cagey candidates
muddying their positions. The intense focus on Iowa and New Hampshire
encourages candidates to have sustained contact with ordinary voters
rather than wage campaigns solely from television studios. And potential
nominees must withstand intense scrutiny and challenges that test their
mettle.
But we can do better. Here's our wish list of reforms for future
primaries:
- Rotate opening states: Iowa and New Hampshire should not be the sole
focus of candidates' grassroots campaigning. Different states have
different interests and concerns, particularly ones with bigger cities
and more racial diversity. We should rotate the first states by holding
a lottery among a pool of small and mid-size states.
- Start later: Some misguided party leaders may want an early nominee,
but hardly anyone else yearns for a nine-month general election campaign
of sniping and personal attacks. Primaries should run from March to
June.
- An inclusive schedule: Republicans in 2000 nearly adopted the
"Delaware plan" that would give more states and their voters a
meaningful role. After the opening primaries, small states would vote in
a "mini Super Tuesday," followed by a break that would allow voters to
give frontrunners a second look. Bigger states would then vote, followed
by more breaks, until finally the biggest states would vote in a
decisive final round.
- Require full representation: In Democratic primaries and caucuses,
candidates win a fair share of convention delegates through full
representation, where winning 25 percent of the vote earns at least 25
percent of delegates. Republicans mostly use winner-take-all primaries,
where the first-place finisher receives all delegates even if winning
far less than a majority. Winner-take-all distorts results and can allow
an unrepresentative candidate to win big when the opposition vote is
split among several candidates. Both parties should require full
representation and consider lowering the 15 percent threshold of support
now necessary for Democrats to win delegates.
- Adopt Iowa's "second choice" system: The Iowa caucuses showcase a more
representative method by allowing voters the chance to cast alternate
choices in case their first choice can't win delegates. Every
participant ultimately elects a delegate, and candidates have incentives
to reach out to supporters of other candidates. In contrast, more than a
quarter of voters in the eleven primaries and caucuses after Iowa
supported candidates who failed to reach the 15 percent necessary to win
delegates. A better way in the primaries is to allow voters to rank
candidates so that if their first choice falls short, their runoff
rankings can help more viable candidates, similar to instant runoff
voting.
- Remember the youth: While their turnout remains low, young voters are
participating in bigger numbers in 2004. New Hampshire's set of rules
helps explain why. Voters can register on the day of the primary, and
still vote in the primary if registered as an independent. And
youth-oriented debates were spotlighted. Young people are more likely to
be unregistered, are disproportionately registered as independents, and
are more motivated when candidates address their concerns.
- Fix the financing: When most leading candidates opt out of public
financing, the system is broken. We should provide a four-to-one public
match for small donations and give participating candidates additional
funds when opponents opt out.
We deserve elections where more of us can make a difference, where
choices are meaningful, and where our votes count. Political parties can
adopt most of these changes on their own without waiting for Congress to
pass new legislation. Let's push for reform before 2008.
Rob Richie is executive director of the Center for Voting and Democracy,
www.fairvote.org.
Steven Hill is the Center's senior analyst and author
of "Fixing Elections: The Failure of Americas Winner Take All Politics,"
www.FixingElections.com.
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