How to Handle Nader
by
Steven Hill and Rob Richie
In 2000, Al Gore beat George W.
Bush in the state of New Mexico by a
mere 356 votes--a slimmer margin
than in Florida. Ralph Nader polled
21,000 votes. Nader not only nearly
cost Gore the state, but forced him
to expend valuable resources there
in the campaign's waning days,
draining his effort from
Florida.
Flash forward to 2004. Once again the Democratic and
Republican
candidates are locked in a tight race nationally. Once again
Nader's
entry into the race threatens Kerry's hold on New Mexico. And
once again
two candidates who share many views and bases of support--and
who ideally
could work together to challenge George Bush on the economy,
the war in
Iraq, the future of social security, the environment,
political reform
and health care--instead are players in a Cain and Abel
drama, courtesy
of the all-or-nothing, winner-take-all nature of our
presidential
election method.
Yet there is a way out--if New
Mexico Democrats decide they want one.
Democrats control New Mexico's
state legislature, and one of Kerry's
leading vice-presidential
contenders, Bill Richardson, is governor.
Democrats could pass into
law--right now--a runoff or instant runoff
system with a majority
requirement for president to ensure that the
center-left does not split
its vote between Kerry and Nader.
Here's how. The Constitution
mandates the antiquated Electoral College
system for electing the
president, in which there is a series of
elections in the fifty states
and the District of Columbia rather than
one national election. But the
Constitution specifically delegates to
states the method of choosing its
electors. States historically have
used a variety of different
approaches, including letting the state
legislature appoint electors, as
threatened by Florida Republicans in
2000. Nebraska and Maine, for
example, award two electoral votes to the
winner of the statewide vote
and one vote to the winner of the popular
vote in each congressional
district (a flawed approach that would boost
Republicans if in place
nationally).
The remaining states use a statewide
winner-take-all plurality method
where the highest vote-getter wins 100
percent of that state's electoral
votes, even if that candidate wins
less than a popular majority. With
plurality voting, a majority of
voters can split their vote among two or
more candidates and end up
winning nothing. Indeed because of the
presence of Nader and other
candidates like Pat Buchanan, nine states in
2000 awarded all their
electoral votes to a candidate who did not win a
popular majority. Fully
49 of 50 states were won without a majority in
1992. It is the lack of a
majority requirement that leads Nader and
Kerry forces to clash so
bitterly.
To be sure, Republicans may cry foul if New Mexico
Democrats suddenly
switch to a runoff system, but even if Democrats'
action is
self-interested, it's also in the public interest to protect
majority
rule and allow for voter choice. One approach would be to adopt
a runoff
system similar to that used in most presidential elections
around the
world, most southern primaries and many local elections: A
first round
with all candidates would take place in New Mexico in early
October.
The top two finishers would face off in November, with the
winner
certain to have a majority.
Better still would be to
adopt instant runoff voting (IRV). Used in
Ireland and Australia and
recently adopted for city elections in San
Francisco and for
congressional and gubernatorial nominations by the
Utah Republican
Party, IRV has drawn support from Howard Dean, Jesse
Jackson Jr. and
John McCain. By allowing voters to rank the candidates
(for example, a 1
for Ralph Nader and a 2 for John Kerry), IRV can
resolve the spoiler
problem. Voters are liberated to vote for their
favorite candidate
without helping to elect their least favorite. IRV
also saves candidates
the campaign costs of a runoff election and
preserves more voter choice
in the decisive November election when voter
turnout is
highest.
New Mexico's state senate in fact already passed IRV
legislation in 1999
in the wake of Democrats losing two congressional
seats due in part to
Green Party candidacies. Despite support from the
AFL-CIO and Common
Cause, the proposal died because of concerns about
costs of implementing
it and because some Democrats would rather destroy
Greens than allow for
co-existence.
Democrats also call the
shots in the presidential battleground states of
Maine, West Virginia
and Tennessee. With one vote of the legislature and
a stroke of the
governor's pen, these states could accommodate the
reality of the Nader
candidacy. The question is: what is stopping them?
While Ralph Nader may
be ready to risk a repeat of 2000--and could do
much more to make
multi-party democracy a viable option by highlighting
reforms such as
IRV--most Greens don't want to be spoilers. They
consistently support
reforming winner-take-all elections, and their
presidential frontrunner
David Cobb promises to focus this fall on safe
states, in recognition of
Greens' interest in defeating George Bush.
But only Democrats and
Republicans have the power to change the rules of
the game.
Democrats' failure to use that power begs the question: would
they
rather engage in name-calling and suppressing candidacies, even at
the
risk of costing themselves the presidential election, than allow
new
political voices to join the fray? More people, Democrats
and
non-Democrats alike, should begin asking party leaders: why not
IRV?
Steven Hill is a senior policy analyst with the Center
for Voting and
Democracy and author of "Fixing Elections: The Failure of
America's
Winner Take All Politics." Rob Richie is the Center's
executive
director. Contact the Center at
www.fairvote.org .
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